As I watch NASCAR racing this season, I’m left thinking I must not understand what I’m looking at. I think the racing is great; some of the best I’ve ever seen. Great drivers, great competition and great coverage. But then I hear the commentators (TV, Radio, writers, etc etc). “We need rule tweeks, we need new packages”, etc etc, I’m left wondering what race they’re looking at. The commentators seem to long for a era that in reality never existed. They long for close competitive racing and OK that’s a noble desirable thing to want, but the reality is that the racing right now is no more good or bad that it has been in the past. Are there stinkers? Yes, but history shows there has always been stinkers.
Lets look at a couple tracks at 5 year intervals, both the Fall races for consistency. Starting in 1970 the interval between first and second are as follows.
Dover, Fall race. Charlotte, Fall race
1970- 27 Seconds 1970- Under Caution
1975- 1.3 1975- .26
1980-.47 1980- 1.83
1985-1 lap 3 seconds 1985- 1.0
1990- 1.38 1990- 2.59
1995- 2.34 1995- .97
2000- 6.75 2000- 1.16
2005- .80 2005- .309
2010- 2.63 2010- 1.86
2015- 2.63 2015- .703
What do we see? Outside the Dover 1985 runaway, all the races are reasonably close. If we throw out 1970 and 1985 and average, the gap between 1st and 2nd is 2.03 seconds. Charlotte (discounting the 1970 under caution race) is down to a 1.18 second gap, for a 500 mile race, those are pretty close average finish gaps. By the way. I started in 1970 on purpose. Pre 1970 it was not at all unusual to have races finish with the leader being several laps ahead of second place. I mean like 4 or 5 laps. In my opinion the racing really started to tighten up after 1970 to today.
The stinkers of course in this stretch are the 1970 and 1985 Dover races as well as the 1970 Charlotte Under Caution finish. These are random choices, but display overall that the racing is consistent. There are front runners and back markers. A handful of drivers have a chance to win on Sunday and more then a few have no realistic chance. That’s how it’s always been and no “rule package tweaks” are going to remedy this.
So what’s going on? What is different that causes this turmoil? I think it’s the unprecedented access social media and 24/7 radio and TV allows to all aspects of the sport. From drivers, to race tracks the NASCAR itself and that a dangerous biased source to look to for guidance. You can’t rely on a driver fan driven fanbase to set your expectations. Fans of driver X will always scream when driver Y gets a perceived advantage, yet remain silent when driver X gets the same advantage..
Lets look at the recent restart controversy. A driver was accused of “jumping” the restart. NASCAR heard the outcry and acted. Next race a driver was Black flagged and penalized; now the restart zone is expanded. OK, but now NASCAR has inserted itself in the restarts. Hypothetically let’s jump ahead to Homestead. Last restart and a driver “Jumps” the restart. Is NASCAR going to penalize that driver running for the Sprint Cup? If it’s Dale Jr? And if they don’t act how are they going to explain that, after already setting the precedent. As I’ve heard more than once on Dave Moody’s show “Be careful what you wish for, you just might get it”
I’ve seen the tweets, heard the calls and seen the stories. The sanctioning body has way to much focus on the fans. Are there smart fans? Absolutely, sometimes the level of knowledge is astounding and sends me to the computer to verify. but the majority are just screamers who when you boil it down are screaming because their driver didn’t do well and no amount of rule changes are going to fix that. If you look to “HarvickKing” or “DaleJrGod” for guidance, you’re probably not getting unbiased advice.
And we have another problem. According to a study from YouGov.org it’s estimated that 28% of social media users are trolls, simply looking to stir the pot and see how much chaos they can cause. So when you break down the biased fans and the trolls who do you listen to on social media for guidance? I don’t know, it may take an enlarged social media team to interpret what true fans really think, or maybe it’s time to stop listening to them altogether and simply race the cars and let the chips fall where they may. 1 winner and 42 cars behind him. In the “old” days this was enough. When we just had a Sunday race and Monday morning newspaper article. The folks on their couch couldn’t give a crap about the minor details some lose their minds over now.
I love Twitter, Facebook and all the rest. I love the access it gives, the inside tidbits it reveals, but I also respect the power it can wield and recognize it’s a medium to be respected. I can foresee a day when teams and sports pull back, when the outcry from fans or the trouble trolls cause creates a headache that’s just not worth the hassle, I hope it doesn’t happen. For the hardcore race fan who loves the sport and hungers for ever more information, I hope we never lose this recent access. They listen at NASCAR. Brian France and Steve O’Donnell are on record several times stating that indeed they do listen to the fan input.
So, lets step back and appreciate what we are watching, great racing, good finishes and great drivers. There are no “Good old days” we are watching them. Line em up and let the guys and gals have at it, may the best driver win. That’s how it’s always been and should be. If you’re a tweeter, facebooker or radio show caller be careful what you post or say, If you tag NASCAR you never know who up top may be reading or listening and being influenced by it.
Be Safe and Have Fun.
All race references and statistics come thanks to http://www.racing-reference.info/ it’s a great source for historical Nascar data.